Potential outcomes

The potential outcome formalism of Donald Rubin and Jerzy Neyman is a key development in modern causal inference. One of our textbooks has a pretty good list of scholarly references. See also this blog post of Gelman's for some interesting discussion about the intellectual history of potential outcomes in economics. The assigned paper by Holland defines the fundamental problem of causal… Continue reading Potential outcomes

The fundamental problem of causal inference

Holland JASA 1986. Planet Money: What Causes What?   On Monday in class I reviewed most of the material in the nice (and famous) 1986 JASA article by Paul Holland with the crazy-general title "Statistics and Causal Inference". Additionally, I described in very informal terms some of the common methods of inferring causal effects from… Continue reading The fundamental problem of causal inference